Expected Diesel Price in Pakistan From 16 October 2025
Fuel prices in Pakistan are influenced by global oil prices, exchange rates, taxes, regulations, and the balance of supply and demand. Diesel prices influence transportation and consumer goods costs. As of early October 2025, diesel was increased to Rs 276.81 per litre, with reviews every 15 days. The next review will be on 16 October 2025, focusing on potential price changes and factors affecting them.
Know more about: Previous Upcoming Diesel Price in Pakistan from 1st October 2025
پاکستان میں ایندھن کی قیمتیں تیل کی عالمی قیمتوں، شرح مبادلہ، ٹیکس، ضوابط اور طلب و رسد کے توازن سے متاثر ہوتی ہیں۔ ڈیزل کی قیمتیں نقل و حمل اور اشیائے خوردونوش کے اخراجات کو متاثر کرتی ہیں۔ اکتوبر 2025 کے اوائل تک، ڈیزل 276.81 روپے فی لیٹر ہو گیا، ہر 15 دن بعد جائزے کے ساتھ۔ اگلا جائزہ 16 اکتوبر 2025 کو ہوگا، جس میں قیمتوں میں ممکنہ تبدیلیوں اور ان پر اثر انداز ہونے والے عوامل پر توجہ دی جائے گی۔
Current Diesel Prices
| Product | Old Price (PKR/Litre) | Current Price (PKR/Litre) | Increase (01 Oct 2025) |
| Diesel (HSD) | 272.77 | 276.81 | +4.04 |
The rates announced on October 1, 2025, remain unchanged, but rising crude oil prices may lead to a revision soon.
Expected Diesel Price
Based on current global oil market trends and exchange rate movements, the expected price hike could be as follows:
| Product | Current Price (PKR/Litre) | Expected Increase (PKR) | Expected New Price (PKR/Litre) |
| Diesel | 276.81 | +3.50 | 280.31 |
Factors Affecting Diesel Price Increase
- Global Crude Oil Prices: An increase in international oil prices (for instance, due to OPEC+ production cuts or geopolitical conflicts) results in higher diesel prices in Pakistan because the country relies on oil imports.
- Exchange Rate (USD to PKR): A depreciation of the Pakistani rupee makes oil imports costlier, leading to an increase in local diesel prices.
- Government Taxes & Levies: Any rise in petroleum levies, sales tax, or customs duties directly elevates the price of diesel at the pump.
- Freight & Transportation Costs: Changes in the inland freight equalisation margin (IFEM) or increases in transportation expenses contribute to the final price of diesel.
- Profit Margins of Refineries & Oil Marketing Companies (OMCs): If oil marketing companies or refineries increase their profit margins as a result of higher operational expenses, diesel becomes more expensive.
- Local Demand & Seasonal Usage: Elevated demand during harvest periods or heightened industrial activity can lead to price increases due to supply pressures.
Historical Overview of Fuel Prices (September–October 2025)
| Effective Date | Petrol (PKR/Litre) | Diesel (PKR/Litre) | Change |
| 01 Oct 2025 | 268.68 | 276.81 | +4.07 / +4.04 |
| 15 Sep 2025 | 264.61 | 272.77 | No Change |
| 01 Sep 2025 | 259.92 | 268.00 | -2.10 / -1.50 |
| 16 Aug 2025 | 262.02 | 269.50 | +3.00 / +2.50 |
Know more about: Previous Diesel Rate in Pakistan Today, 1st October 2025
Impact on Economy and Daily Life
- Higher Transportation Costs: Increased diesel prices raise transport fares and freight charges, impacting all sectors.
- Increase in Prices of Essential Goods: Costlier transportation results in higher prices for food and daily items, straining household budgets.
- Agricultural Burden: Farmers face higher costs for diesel-powered equipment, reducing profit margins or increasing food prices.
- Industrial & Business Impact: Industries relying on diesel experience higher production costs, which may lead to reduced output or layoffs.
- Strain on Low- and Middle-Income Households: Rising fuel costs diminish disposable income, making it difficult for families to afford essentials and lowering living standards.
Conclusion
As Pakistan nears the diesel price assessment scheduled for 16 October 2025, a modest rise of approximately Rs 3.50 per litre is anticipated, pushing the price to nearly Rs 280.31 per litre. This increase is influenced by escalating global oil costs, currency changes, and local economic factors. Any increase will have a direct impact on transportation, agriculture, industry, and household expenses, contributing to overall inflation. The government will need to find a balance between its revenue requirements and public and economic pressures.
جیسا کہ پاکستان 16 اکتوبر 2025 کو ڈیزل کی قیمت کے تعین کے قریب ہے، تقریباً 3.50 روپے فی لیٹر کا معمولی اضافہ متوقع ہے، جس سے قیمت تقریباً 280.31 روپے فی لیٹر ہو جائے گی۔ یہ اضافہ تیل کی عالمی قیمتوں میں اضافے، کرنسی کی تبدیلیوں اور مقامی اقتصادی عوامل سے متاثر ہے۔ کسی بھی اضافے کا براہ راست اثر نقل و حمل، زراعت، صنعت اور گھریلو اخراجات پر پڑے گا، جس سے مجموعی افراط زر میں اضافہ ہوگا۔ حکومت کو اپنی آمدنی کی ضروریات اور عوامی اور معاشی دباؤ کے درمیان توازن تلاش کرنے کی ضرورت ہوگی۔
FAQ’s
Will diesel prices increase on 16 October 2025?
Yes, based on current trends, an increase of Rs 3.50 per litre is expected, raising the price to approximately Rs 280.31.
What is the main reason for diesel price hikes?
The main reasons are rising global oil prices, rupee depreciation, and increased government taxes or levies.
How does rising diesel prices affect daily life?
It raises the prices of transport and food, increases costs in agriculture and industry, and places additional pressure on household budgets.