Expected Petrol Price in Pakistan From 16 October 2025

Expected Petrol Price in Pakistan From 16 October 2025

After a fuel price hike on October 1, 2025, another increase in petrol and diesel prices is anticipated around October 16, 2025. Analysts predict a rise of Rs 2 to Rs 3 per litre due to fluctuations in global oil markets and the depreciation of the Pakistani rupee. Currently, petrol is priced at Rs 268.68 per litre, and the new price could range between Rs 269 to Rs 270.89 per litre. This increase is expected to add more strain on consumers facing rising living costs and inflation.

Know more about: Previously Petrol price in Pakistan today, 1st October 2025

یکم اکتوبر 2025 کو ایندھن کی قیمتوں میں اضافے کے بعد، 16 اکتوبر 2025 کے آس پاس پیٹرول اور ڈیزل کی قیمتوں میں ایک اور اضافہ متوقع ہے۔ تجزیہ کاروں نے تیل کی عالمی منڈیوں میں اتار چڑھاؤ اور پاکستانی روپے کی قدر میں کمی کی وجہ سے 2 سے 3 روپے فی لیٹر اضافے کی پیش گوئی کی ہے۔ اس وقت پٹرول کی قیمت 268.68 روپے فی لیٹر ہے، اور نئی قیمت 269 روپے سے 270.89 روپے فی لیٹر کے درمیان ہو سکتی ہے۔ توقع ہے کہ اس اضافے سے صارفین پر بڑھتے ہوئے اخراجات اور مہنگائی کا سامنا کرنے والے مزید دباؤ میں اضافہ ہوگا۔

Current Fuel Prices

The rates announced on October 1, 2025, remain unchanged, but rising crude oil prices may lead to a revision soon.

Expected Petrol Price

Based on current global oil market trends and exchange rate movements, the expected price hike could be as follows:

Why Are Fuel Prices Increasing Again?

• Rising Global Crude Oil Prices: Prices have increased due to OPEC+ supply cuts, geopolitical tensions, and higher demand from major economies like China and the U.S.
• Depreciation of Pakistani Rupee: A weaker rupee raises the cost of petroleum imports, leading to higher domestic fuel prices.
• Higher Import and Refining Costs: Increased costs from global inflation and shipping disruptions are putting pressure on consumer prices.
• Increase in Government Taxes and Levies: The government raises petroleum levies or taxes to meet revenue targets, contributing to higher pump prices.
• Adjustment in Dealer and OMC Margins: Increased profit margins for oil marketing companies and dealers contribute to rising retail prices.
• No or Limited Government Subsidy: The government is currently not subsidising fuel prices significantly, exposing consumers to market fluctuations.

Historical Overview of Fuel Prices (September–October 2025)

Over the past two months, petrol prices have risen by almost PKR 9 per litre.

Know more about: Previously Petrol price in Pakistan today, 1st October 2025

Implications & What It Means for the Public

• Cost of Transportation: An increase in petrol prices directly raises fuel expenses for private vehicles, motorcycles, and ride-hailing services, resulting in commuters feeling the financial impact.
• Inflationary Pressure: As transport is a key component of supply chains, a rise in fuel costs usually leads to higher prices for goods and services, thereby contributing to inflation.
• Public Sentiment / Political Sensitivity: Any significant hike in fuel prices typically provokes public discontent, which governments often seek to mitigate through subsidies or phased increases.
• Budget Planning: Households and businesses will have to set aside more funds for fuel in their budgets, particularly for long-distance travel or logistics activities.

Government Response

Representatives from the Finance Ministry have indicated that the forthcoming price change will be implemented with “thoughtful regard” for public well-being. Nevertheless, Pakistan’s pact with international creditors restricts the government’s capacity to offer extensive fuel subsidies. A formal announcement regarding the updated fuel prices is anticipated to be issued late on 15 October 2025, taking effect at 12:00 AM on 16 October 2025.

Conclusion

With petrol currently costing Rs 268.68 per litre, Pakistan is anticipated to experience another slight rise of Rs 2 to Rs 3 per litre starting from 16 October 2025, driven by increasing global oil prices and a weakened rupee. This anticipated increase will continue to pressure household finances and elevate transportation and goods expenses. Although the government may strive to alleviate the burden, its choices are constrained by international loan agreements and revenue objectives. The formal announcement is expected to be made on 15 October 2025 and will take effect at midnight.

اس وقت پٹرول کی قیمت 268.68 روپے فی لیٹر کے ساتھ، پاکستان کو 16 اکتوبر 2025 سے شروع ہونے والے 2 روپے سے 3 روپے فی لیٹر کا ایک اور معمولی اضافہ متوقع ہے، جس کی وجہ تیل کی عالمی قیمتوں میں اضافہ اور روپے کی کمزوری ہے۔ یہ متوقع اضافہ گھریلو مالیات پر دباؤ ڈالتا رہے گا اور نقل و حمل اور سامان کے اخراجات میں اضافہ کرے گا۔ اگرچہ حکومت بوجھ کو کم کرنے کی کوشش کر سکتی ہے، لیکن اس کے انتخاب بین الاقوامی قرضوں کے معاہدوں اور محصول کے مقاصد کی وجہ سے محدود ہیں۔ توقع ہے کہ باضابطہ اعلان 15 اکتوبر 2025 کو کیا جائے گا اور اس کا اطلاق آدھی رات سے ہوگا۔

FAQ’s

How much is petrol expected to increase on 16 October 2025?
A price increase of Rs 2.21 per litre is anticipated, resulting in a new price of approximately Rs 270.89.

Why are fuel prices going up again?
Due to the increasing global prices of crude oil, a weakened rupee, and higher import costs.

When will the new fuel prices be announced?
The new prices will be officially announced on October 15, 2025, taking effect at 12:00 AM on October 16.